Welcome to the fourth High Turnip Prices thread on the ACWW Board.
The rules:1. By posting your prices here, you promise not to charge an admission price to come to your town to sell turnips.
2. If you need help trying to figure out what's happening with the turnip prices in your town, just ask & one of the regular posters will help you answer your questions.
Here's a portion of the guide that sunmarsh is writing with the help of markwars & myself as well as data from Liquefy:
Simply put, every week in ACWW is different for you, and everyone else. Every town has different turnip prices, and their prices are just important as yours is. Each day is split into (uneven) halves. Tom Nook will have a different turnip price for each half-day. His AM price starts at 8AM and lasts through noon, when he changes to his PM price, which lasts up until closing. So, you have four hours in the morning to sell at your AM price, and a hefty eleven to sell at your PM price. The chances that your highest weekly price will be in the AM is roughly 50%, so both prices are equally important to check. Just a note, if your schedule leaves you playing at night or in the afternoon, it may be helpful to keep your clock a few hours behind so you can play during an earlier part of the day and perhaps catch the AM price or vice versa.
Turnip prices are very limited in their patterns however, so it is necessary that you be dedicated to data collection. You need as much information as possible when trying to predict results. These patterns in pricing run on a weekly basis, and there are little if no long-term patterns to look out for. However, it is still possible to make accurate weekly predictions. You first need to know the type of week that you’re having. This can be done by recording and analyzing the first few days of turnip pricing in a given week. There are three trends your week can follow.
1. Rollercoaster - the prices go up and down without any predictability of direction or amount.
2. Steady Decline - The price falls 1, 2, or 3 bells each time & never increases all week.
3. Spike - The price falls 1, 2, or 3 bells each time until Wednesday or Thursday (can be as early as Tuesday or as late as Friday) when it starts to rise. Normally there will be 3 rises in the price before the highest price (the spike) occurs. Spikes can be one of three types:
3a. Low Spike - the price after the first rise either doesn't go up much or it goes down. The price usually doesn't go over 200, but it is possible for it to get to just under 300. Sell on the 3rd price after the first rise. If the price rise starts on Thursday AM, sell on Friday PM.
3b. Medium Spike - the price rises 3 times in a row. The high price will be somewhere between 300 & 500. Sell on the 2nd price after the rise starts. If the rise starts on Thursday AM, sell on Friday AM.
3c. High spike - the price rises 3 times in a row. The high price will be at least 500. Sell on the 2nd price after the rise starts. If the rise starts on Thursday AM, sell on Friday AM.
I've been asked by my mom for some easy ways to tell if she's experiencing a rollercoaster week. I thought I'd share them here with everyone as well.
Here are a few ways you can tell if you might be in a rollercoaster week:If either of your Monday price is higher than 90 bells, you might be in a rollercoaster.
If your Monday PM price is higher than Monday AM, you might be in a rollercoaster.
If your price drops more than 6 bells between any price you get from Nook during the beginning of the week, you might be in a rollercoaster.
If your Monday AM price is lower than 70 bells, you might be in a rollercoaster.
As I think of them I'll add to the list.
One other great help for analysing your turnip trends is
BlueHairMonkey's Turnip Wizard. The data that I've collected since Week 6 of ACWW as well as my ACCF turnip pricing data is included in his matrix for helping to analyse turnip trends.
You can find his thread where he discusses the Wizard as well as improvements he has made
by clicking here. If you have any suggestions for improving the wizard, feel free to post them on his thread.
Posted: 11/14/2008 12:27am Edited: 2 
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By the way, how many people post on this thread? it seems kinds empty. Hope someone has a town with 300-500 or even 500+ bells, that would be awesome.
